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Making an Impact
The suit, filed against Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott... accuses Abbott of targeting minority voters in his prosecution of the provisions in a "deliberate campaign to suppress the minority vote."...
The group behind the lawsuit is the Lone Star Project
(Fort Worth Star-Telegram, 9/22/2006)
The Democrats at the Lone Star Project say U.S. Attorney General Al Gonzales and U.S. Attorney Johnny Sutton in San Antonio blew their chance to bring justice to the Texas Youth Commission sexual abuse case.
(Houston Chronicle Blog, 3/15/2007)
David Dewhurst has said most Texans don't have much sympathy "for someone who that can't fill out a two page [health insurance] application every six months".
The Democrat-supported Lone Star Project in Washington reported this week that Dewhurst failed to file necessary forms at least six times in recent years.
(San Antonio Expres News,, 4/12/2007)
The Justice staff memo was obtained by the Lone Star Project ...The story broke the same day the U.S. Supreme Court was considering legal challenges to the plan brought by Democrats and minority groups.
(Houston Chronicle, 12/3/2005)
The Texas chapter of the NAACP, along with the Lone Star Project, have analyzed the amicus brief filed by the Justice Department and have concluded, justifiably, that the Voting Rights section of the Justice Department is now controlled by partisan political appointees.
(Roll Call - Donna Brazile, 2/28/2006)
Using the Lone Star Project as an information clearinghouse for all things DeLay. The organization "particularly became relevant as the unethical activities of Tom DeLay came more to light."
(The Fix – Washington Post,3/6/2006)
What's more, the relevant 73-page memo "has been kept under tight wraps" since then. That memo is now publicly available, here in PDF at the Lone Star Project.
(Hotline, 12/2/2005)
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State House
Incumbents
Edition
LSP Victory Map Shows Campaigns to Watch
– and Join
The most important factor in the six seat Democratic House gain in 2006 was that not a single Democratic held State House district fell to a Republican. In 2008, any practical scenario for Democrats to gain the additional five seats needed to win a majority starts with the re-election of vulnerable incumbents.
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The current State House map was drawn by a highly partisan Republican Legislative Redistricting Board. Even so, Democrats have made steady gains since 2004 and at this point in the 2008 election season are in a very good position. Only one Democratic held open seat is being strongly contested, and fewer than a dozen sitting incumbents appear at all vulnerable at this point. Those who are being hotly contested are either freshmen members running their first re-election campaign or more senior Democrats who have sunk deep local roots, demonstrated their effectiveness as public servants and proven over time that they can hold districts that often vote Republican in state-wide elections.
Below is a list of some of the Democratic incumbents whom the Tom Craddick Republican forces think are vulnerable and are working to defeat. The Lone Star Project considers only four at significant risk, but there are several others who must continue raising money aggressively and be prepared for a tough re-election fight. Certainly, all these Democratic incumbents need the support of activists in their district and the financial support of those everywhere in Texas who want to end Tom Craddick’s failed tenure and bring responsible leadership to the Texas State House. The most important factor in the six seat Democratic House gain in 2006 was that not a single Democratic held State House district fell to a Republican. In 2008, any practical scenario for Democrats to gain the additional five seats needed to win a majority starts with the re-election of vulnerable incumbents.
District Analysis and Incumbent Information
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District 17
Democratic Incumbent: Donnie Dippel (Cook)
Challenger:
Tim Kleinschmidt
Location:
Central Texas
Website:
http://donniedippel.com
Kerry 2004:
36.0%
Moody 2006:
49.3%
DPI 2008:
42.3%
Donnie Dippel is running for the seat currently held by Democrat Robby Cook. This is the only Democratic held open seat at risk. The 17th District sits between Austin and Houston covering all or parts of six counties including Bastrop and Burleson. While top-ticket Democrats sometimes fare poorly in the District, downballot centrist Democrats like Dippel do very well. Dippel’s family has lived in the area since 1854 and his agriculture and small business background are also advantages in the District. The Texas Observer notes, “Nearly 21,000 voters showed up in the [Democratic] primary-more than either Cook or Kleinschmidt received in the 2006 general election." (Texas Observer, May 30, 2008) Dippel should be able to defend the Democrats only contested open seat.
Note:
Kerry 2004 - John Kerry's 2004 Presidential Percentage
Moody 2006 - Bill Moody's 2006 Supreme Court Percentage
DPI 2008 - 2008 Democratic Performance Index as calculated by NCEC |
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District 32
Democratic Incumbent: Juan Garcia
Challenger:
Todd Hunter
Location:
Corpus Christi
Website:
www.electjuangarcia.com
Kerry 2004:
33.2%
Moody 2006:
46.3%
DPI 2008:
39.7%
Juan Garcia ran a very impressive campaign in 2006 beating longtime incumbent Gene Seaman. Garcia is once again campaigning hard. This is expected to be one of the most expensive races in the State House, but with more than a half million dollars cash on hand, Garcia is keeping financial pace and so far has out raised his opponent. Garcia’s background as a pilot and Naval Officer should help him win reelection to his Corpus Christi based seat. His opponent, Todd Hunter, is a former House Member but has worked as a lobbyist since at least 1998, focusing much of his attention on assisting the insurance industry.
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District 97
Democratic Incumbent: Dan Barrett
Challenger:
Mark Shelton
Website:
www.danbarrett.com
Location:
Fort Worth
Kerry 2004:
35.8%
Moody 2006:
43.1%
DPI 2008:
38.2%
Dan Barrett proved his mettle by winning a special election in 2007 for this previously Republican held Tarrant County seat with more then 52% of the vote. In the special, Barrett beat his current opponent, Mark Shelton, who has now been through two bruising primaries and lost the runoff election in just the past 18 months. Shelton has just $37,728 cash on hand, after winning the Republican Primary in March. Shelton has publicly pledged his support for highly unpopular Speaker Tom Craddick and has engaged in unethical, and perhaps illegal, campaign tactics. Barrett should be able to beat Shelton for the second time in less than a year this November.
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District 107
Democratic Incumbent: Allen Vaught
Challenger:
Bill Keffer
Web:
www.allenvaught.com
Location:
Dallas
Kerry 2004:
43.2%
Moody 2006:
50.3%
DPI 2008:
44.2%
Allen Vaught faces a rematch with harshly partisan Tom Craddick ally Bill Keffer. Keffer had the active support of Craddick and had the advantages of incumbency in 2006, yet lost to combat veteran Allen Vaught. Vaught served as an Army officer in Iraq, stationed in both Fallujah and Baghdad, before being injured in an IED attack. Meanwhile, Keffer was supporting coal fired power plants in North Texas and opposing critical funding for local public schools. Now that Vaught is the incumbent, he should be able to build on his ’06 margin.
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Incumbent Watch List
The races below comprise an incumbent Watch List. Each of these Democrats is well positioned to win re-election but must continue to raise money aggressively so that they have the resources to fend off what, in most cases, are ideologically extreme and/or inept Republican challengers.
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District 3
Democratic Incumbent: Mark Homer
Challenger:
Kirby Hollingsworth
Location:
East Texas
Web:
http://www.markhomer.com
Kerry 2004:
31.4%
Moody 2006:
48.1%
DPI 2008 :
41.5%
Mark Homer has been serving in the Texas House since 1999. He faces Republican challenger Kirby Hollingsworth for the third time. Homer won the 2006 contest against Hollingsworth by more than 18 percentage points, but must run an active well-financed campaign in his conservative leaning rural district. Homer currently sits on the House Committee on Culture, Recreation and Tourism as well as being Vice-Chair of the powerful Committee on Judiciary. During the past session, Homer has worked to raise salaries for Texas teachers, restore cuts that were made to the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), reduce the costs of utility rates for low-income families, and supported clean air legislation, among many other issues.
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District 11
Democratic Incumbent: Chuck Hopson
Challenger:
Brian Keith Walker
Location:
East Texas
Web:
http://chuckhopson.com/
Kerry 2004:
28.8%
Moody 2006:
39.6%
DPI 2008 :
34.7%
Chuck Hopson is a popular East Texas Representative who is serving his fourth term, despite always being a top target of partisan Republicans. Hopson won 52.7% of the vote in 2004 and 51% of the vote in 2006. Hopson is an independent pharmacist who sits on the powerful Appropriations Committee and is Chairman of Budget and Oversight for the committee on Judicial Affairs. Hopson is a mainstream, common sense Democrat who identifies and reflects the conservative sensibilities of his district. He an active NRA member and tireless advocate for farmers, small businesses and working families.
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District 47
Democratic Incumbent: Valinda Bolton
Challenger:
Donna Keel
Location:
Travis
Web:
www.valindabolton.org
Kerry 2004:
46.7%
Moody 2006:
54.6%
DPI 2008:
49.2%
Valinda Bolton was one of the six Democrats to win a Republican held seat in 2006. She won the southwest Travis County District 50.2% to 45.5%. Bolton was named Freshman of the Year in 2007 by the Legislative Study Group. Bolton faces Donna Keel, the sister-in-law of Terry Keel, one of Craddick’s most loyal allies and the current House Parliamentarian. Craddick’s unpopularity and the excitement about Obama’s campaign in Travis County should both help Bolton.
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District 85
Democratic Incumbent: Joe Heflin
Challenger:
Issac Castro
Location:
West Texas - Crosbyton
Web:
www.joeheflin.com
Kerry 2004:
23.7%
Moody 2006:
42.3%
DPI 2008 :
34.9%
In 2006, Joe Heflin skillfully defended this Republican leaning district that had been held by former House Speaker Pete Laney for more than 30 years. Heflin has deep roots in this rural West Texas District and enjoys the strong support of the still popular Pete Laney. Heflin ran more than 14 percent ahead of the Democratic average in 2006 and should be able to do so again in 2008. Democratic enthusiasm in the District is up after the 2008 primary where 2,300 more Democrats than Republicans turned out to vote. Heflin’s 2006 opponent lost despite spending a half million dollars more than Heflin. This time out, Heflin has the advantage of incumbency to compliment his strong local ties to the District.
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