With the first quarter financial reports now in and the May 29th Democratic primary about six weeks away, the race for the Democratic Party nomination in new Congressional District 33 is taking shape. The new District 33 is considered a safe Democratic seat, so the Democratic primary election is tantamount to the general election. With 11 Democratic candidates in the race, we expect that none will gain a majority of the vote on May 29th, forcing a July 31st run-off between the two top finishers.
The relative strengths and vulnerabilities of the candidates are becoming apparent. Below, the Lone Star Project has broken down the candidates into three tiers. We will update our tiers as the campaign develops in the coming weeks and if candidate prospects change.
Tier 1 | |||
Marc VeaseyVeasey is the highly regarded current State Representative of House District 95. Veasey is one of the most aggressive advocates for minority voter representation in the new congressional map. He has been a strong and effective opponent against Rick Perry and Republican priorities in Austin. Veasey also serves in a leadership position as Chair of the State House Democratic Caucus.
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Domingo GarciaDomingo Garcia is a long-time political activist who has both won and lost a number of political races in the past. He has served in the State House and on the Dallas City Council. Garcia is a millionaire attorney and in recent years has concentrated on building his law practice and supporting the political career of his wife, Elba Garcia.
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Tier 2 | |||
Steve SalazarSalazar is a former Dallas City Councilman who enjoys the strong support of popular State House Member Roberto Alonzo. Salazar surprised many by raising over $70,000 during the first reporting period and appears to be wisely saving it for voter communication.
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Kathleen HicksHicks resigned from the Fort Worth City Council to run for Congress. She is the daughter of former judge and long-time political activist Mary Ellen Hicks. Kathleen Hicks is troubled by past alliances with Tea Party Republicans like GOP Congressman Michael Burgess and has been unable to gain any early traction. (Source: Tarrant County a hot spot in brewing battle over redistricting, Fort Worth Star-Telegram, September 10, 2009.) However, given her family’s deep roots in Tarrant County, she should not be discounted.
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David AlameelAlameel is unknown to area voters but is clearly willing to spend his own funds to put his name and face in front of voters. He has loaned his campaign over $2 million dollars and has spent approximately $500,000 on billboards. His campaign is directed by highly regarded State House Member Yvonne Davis. However, while Alameel has supported key Democratic office-holders in the past, he has also contributed large amounts to extreme right wing Republicans like David Dewhurst and Greg Abbott.
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Manuel ValdezValdez is the long-time sitting Justice of the Peace in Tarrant County Precinct 5. While Valdez has not raised much money or built an organization outside his base, he is well-known and well-liked within the growing Hispanic community in Tarrant County and respected by those who know him county-wide.
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Tier 3 | |||
Seven other candidates have filed in new CD33. Among these, Chrysta Castaneda has raised enough money to hire professional consulting services. Carlos Quintanilla and Jason Roberts have been active as neighborhood organizers in Dallas. Other candidates have yet to demonstrate an ability to communicate with a significant number of district voters. |
Strengths and Vulnerabilities of Tier 1 Candidates
Marc VeaseyTrending – UP Strengths outweigh vulnerabilities Strengths
Vulnerabilities
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Domingo GarciaTrending – DOWN Vulnerabilities outweigh strengths Vulnerabilities
Strengths
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